Preventing War Against Iran
by David Krieger, February 16, 2007
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The United States is deeply
mired in a preventive war of its own making in Iraq with
no clear way out. Now the Bush administration is making
accusations against Iran and bolstering US forces in the
Persian Gulf with two additional naval battle groups.
Why
would the Bush administration contemplate a new war against
Iran? How would a war against Iran in any conceivable way
benefit the United States? There are no clear answers that
explain the Bush administration’s increased threats
toward Iran. Yet, despite the president’s statements
that he will pursue “robust diplomacy,” the
possibility that the United States will launch an attack
against Iran cannot be dismissed.
The Bush administration
has continued trumpeting the fear that Iran may develop
nuclear weapons, a technological possibility because of
the uranium enrichment program it is pursuing. This charge,
however, is not credible, at least in the near-term. International
Atomic Energy Agency chief Mohamed ElBaradei reports there
is no evidence that Iran is developing nuclear weapons.
The CIA indicates that it would take Iran a decade to develop
nuclear weapons, if that were its intention. Thus, the
charge that Iran is on the brink of becoming a nuclear
weapons state appears farfetched. The charge, and the lack
of evidence to support it, is ominously similar to the
spurious claims the Bush administration leveled against
Iraq as a cause for initiating that war.
More recently,
the Bush administration has floated a new charge that Iran
has provided Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) to insurgents
in Iraq, even suggesting that the devices were responsible
for the deaths of some 170 Americans. The administration
has put forward little supporting information to substantiate
its claim, and the government of Iran denies the allegation.
It may be possible that Iranians are giving some support
to Iraqi Shiites, but is this adequate cause to attack
Iran and initiate a war with a country of some 70 million
people? This is highly doubtful, unless the US is prepared
to pay an even heavier price in blood and treasure than
it is already paying in Iraq.
Perhaps Mr. Bush thinks that
he can bring democracy to another country in the Middle
East, but this hasn’t worked out in Iraq and it is
even less likely to happen in Iran. This is particularly
true since US military forces are already stretched so
thin that there would be little possibility for the US
to put “boots on the ground” in Iran. A war
against Iran would likely be an air war, a prolonged demonstration
of “shock and awe.”
What else
could be motivating the Bush administration to pursue a
war against Iran? Is it that the administration wishes
to support Israel, which views Iran as a significant threat?
Is it that Iran, like Iraq before it, is talking about
changing its currency for oil revenues to Euros? Could
it be that Mr. Bush likes being a “war president,” and,
rather than accept defeat in Iraq, is seeking to widen
the war by extending it to Iran?
It is possible that the
administration’s threatening behavior toward Iran
is merely muscle flexing to strengthen the US hand in negotiations,
but this possibility cannot be relied upon, particularly
in light of the manner in which the Bush administration
initiated the Iraq War.
There have been reports by
respected journalist Seymour Hersh that the US has contingency
plans for the use of nuclear weapons against Iran. Even
rumors of the US planning to use nuclear weapons preemptively
against Iran should raise serious concerns in the halls
of Congress and throughout the country. Nuclear weapons
concentrate power in the hands of a single individual,
undermining democracy and the future of global security.
Congress opened the door for
Mr. Bush’s attack against
Iraq. Whatever the administration’s motives may be
for its threatening behavior regarding Iran, Congress should
now be responsible for closing the door to a US attack
on another country. Speaker of the House Pelosi has said, “…Congress
should assert itself…and make it very clear that
there is no previous authority for the president, any president,
to go into Iran."
Congress should act proactively
and go on record before it is too late, foreclosing the
president from attacking Iran without specific Congressional
authorization, as well as appropriate authorization by
the United Nations Security Council. The hour is late,
but not too late, for Congress to assert its Constitutional
responsibility.
Senator Robert Byrd, among
other Senators and members of Congress, has already put
forward a resolution that requires Congressional approval
of any offensive US military action taken against another
country. In introducing Senate Resolution 39 on January
24, 2007, Senator Byrd stated, “I am introducing a resolution that clearly
states that it is Congress…not the President – that
is vested with the ultimate decision on whether to take
this country to war against another country.” He
called his resolution “a rejection of the bankrupt,
dangerous and unconstitutional doctrine of preemption,
which proposes that the President – any President – may
strike another country before that country threatens us….”
As
bad as things are in Iraq – and there is no doubt
that they are bad – for Mr. Bush to initiate a new
war by attacking Iran would only make matters worse for
the United States. The US needs to pursue an exit strategy
from Iraq, not a preemptive war against yet another country
that has not attacked the United States. The Congress of
the United States needs to go on record now to assure that
Mr. Bush understands this and the limits of his authority
under the Constitution.
David Krieger is president of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation (www.wagingpeace.org).
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