De-alert
by David Krieger and Carah Ong, April 2002
Although the
Cold War ended more than a decade ago, the US and Russia maintain
large nuclear arsenals with some 4,500 nuclear weapons on high-alert,
ready to be fired at a moment's notice. While both countries have
announced a formal "de-targeting" of one another, it
is virtually meaningless when they keep their nuclear weapons
on high-alert status and maintain a launch-on-warning posture.
The US and Russia have come to the
"brink" of launching their nuclear weapons on several
occasions because of miscommunication or misunderstanding. Removing
nuclear weapons from high-alert status would eliminate the risk
of major catastrophe caused by a hasty reaction from any nuclear
weapons state. By some estimates, the presidents of the US and
Russia would have only 15 minutes to verify an incoming attack,
consult advisors and give the launch order.
De-alerting can be accomplished in a matter of
weeks without negotiating or ratifying a treaty. It can be done
by a simple executive order to stand down nuclear forces. In 1991,
then US President George H. W. Bush took the bold step of removing
hundreds of US nuclear weapons from high-alert status, and in
response, Mikhail Gorbachev did the same with hundreds of Soviet
nuclear weapons. It is time for similar courageous leadership
to finish the process started Presidents Bush and Gorbachev.
Keeping nuclear weapons on hair-trigger alert does
not add to the security of either nation; indeed it makes the
entire world less secure. The Canberra Commission on the Elimination
of Nuclear Weapons strongly recommended de-alerting in 1996. There
have also been numerous resolutions in the United Nations General
Assembly and its disarmament bodies urging this course of action.
Taking nuclear weapons off hair-trigger alert and placing them
in a state in which it would take from hours to days, rather than
minutes or seconds, to make them launch-ready would effectively
eliminate the risk of accidental nuclear war. De-alerting all
nuclear weapons would be the first practical step to substantially
diminishing the role of nuclear weapons in security policy.
"Taking nuclear forces off alert could be
verified by national technical means and nuclear weapon state
inspection arrangements. In the first instance, reductions in
alert status could be adopted by the nuclear weapons states unilaterally."
-The Canberra Commission on the Elimination of
Nuclear Weapons, August 1996
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